Course Description
Embark on an exciting journey into the world of probability and uncertainty with this comprehensive course offered by SNUx. "Probability and Statistics: To p or not to p" is an introductory-level course designed to provide students with a deep understanding of probability theory, its universal principles, and real-world applications. This 12-week course is divided into three parts, each focusing on essential aspects of probability and its practical use in various fields.
What Students Will Learn
Students will gain a solid foundation in probability theory, including:
- Basic concepts such as random variables, expectation, and variance
- Universal principles like the law of large numbers and central limit theorem
- Heavy-tailed phenomena and large deviation principles
- Theory of random processes and their real-world applications
- Markov chains and their use in simulation, randomization, and deep learning
Pre-requisites
The course requires knowledge of calculus. However, prior knowledge of higher mathematics and probability is not necessary.
Course Content
- Basics of probability theory
- Mathematical formulation of probability
- Random variables, expectation, and variance
- Universal principles in probability theory
- Law of large numbers and central limit theorem
- Heavy-tailed phenomena
- Random processes and their applications
- Markov chains and their universal principles
- Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
- Stochastic optimization and deep learning algorithms
Who This Course Is For
This course is ideal for:
- Students interested in mathematics, statistics, or data science
- Professionals looking to enhance their understanding of probability and its applications
- Anyone curious about the role of uncertainty in various fields and how it can be quantified and exploited
Real-World Applications
The skills acquired in this course have numerous real-world applications, including:
- Data analysis and interpretation in various industries
- Financial modeling and risk assessment
- Machine learning and artificial intelligence
- Scientific research and experimentation
- Decision-making under uncertainty in business and policy-making
- Optimization of processes in engineering and manufacturing
- Simulation and modeling in fields such as physics, biology, and social sciences
Syllabus
Course Outline
- Uncertainty: Control vs Exploit
- Quantification of Uncertainty (1): Probability and Random Variables
- Quantification of Uncertainty (2): Expectation and Variance
- Universal Principle (1): Law of large numbers
- Universal Principle (2): Central limit theorem
- Universal Principle (3): More on fluctuation
- Universal Principle (4): Random processes
- Universal Principle (5): Universality of random processes
- How to use uncertainty? (1): Introduction to Markov Chains
- How to use uncertainty? (2): Universal principles of Markov chains
- How to use uncertainty? (3): MCMC and Cutoff phenomenon
- How to use uncertainty? (4): Stochastic optimizations and deep learning
Each lecture covers specific topics and subtopics, providing a comprehensive exploration of probability theory and its applications.